Introduction to the ETM
All models are wrong, but some are useful... — George Box (1978)
The 2016 Paris Climate Agreement means countries are making plans
to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions.
In those plans, emissions from energy use play a big role.
The transition of the energy system can take different directions,
while many options affect each other. The Energy Transition Model
was developed to improve everyone's understanding of the energy system in
order to make more substantiated plans.
The ETM is easy to use. The menu on the left displays all sectors
that use energy (Demand
) and that produce energy (Supply
). For each sector
you can use sliders to indicate what you think (or hope) the future will be like.
The ETM will then immediately show you the impact of your choices: on the right, charts
are shown with specific information. At the bottom of your screen, indicators
show the impact on the entire system (e.g. CO2
energy savings, costs etc.). Advanced users can use the Flexibility
to match demand and supply and the Costs
section for costs assumptions.
The ETM contains no hidden assumptions, like price or technology
developments over time etc. You are in the driver's seat. If you do nothing,
the future will not change.